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New York Islanders: Leo Komarov over-under 24.5 points

By Matt O'Leary
RALEIGH, NC - NOVEMBER 24: Leo Komarov #47 of the Toronto Maple Leafs reacts during their game against the Carolina Hurricanes at PNC Arena on November 24, 2017 in Raleigh, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)
RALEIGH, NC - NOVEMBER 24: Leo Komarov #47 of the Toronto Maple Leafs reacts during their game against the Carolina Hurricanes at PNC Arena on November 24, 2017 in Raleigh, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images) /
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With Leo Komarov added to the New York Islanders bottom six, how will he perform in a new environment and will he increase his point production?

The New York Islanders have a new look bottom six heading into the 2018-2019 season. One of the newest names to that group is Leo Komarov who Lou Lamoriello brought in from Toronto to help the Isles depth.

Leo Komarov signed a four-year $12 million ($3 million AAV) contract on July 1. Nothing would help ease the pain of losing Tavares that day, but the Komarov contract was another punch to the gut.

It’s not that Komarov is a bad player per say, he has an established role and is fine in that role, it’s just the amount he’s getting paid and the term that is bothersome. Four-years for a bottom six forward isn’t a good idea, especially when they’ll turn 32 this year.

Nonetheless, Komarov will either be on the Isles third line on the right side or the fourth line on the left side. With that in mind, will Leo Komarov finish the year with over or under 24.5 points?

Let’s break this down starting with his past. Last year, Komarov played in 74 games and put up 19 points (7 goals, 12 assists). The previous two years he was much more productive putting up 30 or more points in both years with 19 goals in 2015-2016.

The Islanders are hoping for that Leo Komarov. Komarov is also a hit machine. He’s had over 200 hits every year he’s played in the league except for the strike-shortened 2012-2013 season. For someone who hits a ton, he’s almost never in the penalty box.

The last two year’s he’s had 62 penalty minutes combined. To put that in perspective only Dmitrij Jaskin had over 200 hits and fewer penalty minutes than Komarov last year, everyone else with over 200 hits had more penalty minutes than Leo.

He’s not necessarily needed to be a point producer, but 25 seems like an obtainable number so I’ll take the over. He should be able to finish between 25-30 points whether he’s on the third line or the fourth line.

Next. Devon Toews O/U 41 games

Another positive with Komarov is he can play all three forward positions and he won 52.8 percent of his faceoffs last year. Another area of need for the Islanders.

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