Editorials

New York Islanders: Thomas Greiss Over – Under 2.80 Goals Against Average

By Matt O'Leary
NEW YORK, NY - NOVEMBER 07: Thomas Greiss #1 of the New York Islanders tends net against the Edmonton Oilers at the Barclays Center on November 7, 2017 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. The Oilers defeated the Islanders 2-1 in overtime. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - NOVEMBER 07: Thomas Greiss #1 of the New York Islanders tends net against the Edmonton Oilers at the Barclays Center on November 7, 2017 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. The Oilers defeated the Islanders 2-1 in overtime. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) /
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Last year was the worst year of Thomas Greiss’ career. Can the New York Islanders netminder bounce back and have a better GAA than 2.80?

In his first two years with the New York Islanders, Thomas Greiss exceeded expectations. In year one, Greiss had career high’s in save percentage and goals against average while stepping in for the injured Jaroslav Halak.

He was one of the biggest reason’s why the Islanders managed to escape the clutches of the first round of the NHL Playoffs. In year two he played a career-high 51 games. He took a step back, but he was relatively average with a .913 save percentage and a 2.69 goals against average.

Last year, year three, the wheels fell off. In 27 games, Greiss had a .892 save percentage and a 3.82 goals against average. Out of goalies who played 20 or more games, Greiss had the worst high danger save percentage in the league stopping high danger pucks at 71.32 percent.

His goals saved above average is almost unfathomable. Greiss dropped a -17.85 GSAA, which was fourth worst in the league.

The Islanders responded by letting Jaroslav Halak walk in free agency and by signing Robin Lehner to assume the starting goalie role. Now, Greiss returns to his best position, a backup.

Throughout his career, Thomas has been a very solid backup goalie, and 2015-2016 is the perfect example of it. When he plays more often he gets exposed.

2017-2018 is an outlier season. Greiss’ GAA and save percentage hasn’t been over three and sub .900 since he played just three games as a 22-year-old in 2007-2008. With Mitch Korn in the building, a new defensive system and a backup role Greiss should be much better.

He’s a career .912 save percentage and a 2.68 goals against average so it’s safe to assume he gives you something relatively close to that. I’ll take the under and say that Greiss has a 2.72 goals against average when it’s all said and done.

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He probably plays between 25-30 games this year which is usually right in his wheelhouse. Expect Greiss to bounce back.

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