There’s only one team that gives up more high-danger chances against than the Washington Capitals’ 691. It’s the Chicago Blackhawks with 741. Meaning, if not for an incredibly weak defense from the Blackhawks the Capitals would be the worst high-danger chances against team in the league.
That inability to stop high-danger chances against bodes well for the New York Islanders. Under Barry Trotz are the New York Islanders are designed to feed off of whatever high-danger chances they can get. And the Capitals are more than happy to oblige.
I understand that this hasn’t necessarily played out in the regular season. The New York Islanders hold a 1-2-0 record against the Caps this season and have been outscored 7-4 in those three games.
But add the narrative of Barry Trotz facing the team that didn’t want to pay him that will inevitably surround this series and you can see the Islanders performing well.
The Capitals might have the talent advantage on the Islanders, but with the Isles players willing to go through a wall for Trotz and the Caps inability to stop giving up high-danger chances this seems like a series the Isles can win.
Much like Toronto this scenario requires some movement in the standings. Either a third team needs to rocket up the standings in the Metropolitan Division for the Isles and Caps to fall into second and third place, or one of the two need to tumble all the way into the first wildcard position in the Eastern Conference.