Jordan Eberle Scores 30 Goals
Can Jordan Eberle add eleven goals to his tally from last season? Yeah. Yeah, he absolutely can. Even though he’s only ever scored 30 or more goals once in his career. And that was way back in 2011-12, his second year in the league.
He scored 34 goals that season. He came close in 2013-14, scoring 28 goals that year. He’s also scored 25 goals on two other occasions. In 2015-16 and then again in 2017-18, the year before he got traded for Ryan Strome.
So how is Jordan Eberle going to score that many if he’s only ever done it once before?
I’m basing this bold prediction off what Eberle did at the tail end of the 2018-19 season, in the 2018-19 playoffs, and then in the preseason.
In the final eleven games of the New York Islanders 2018-19 season, Eberle scored six goals. That’s 0.54 goals per game. In the playoffs, he scored four goals in eight games for 0.50 goals per game. And in the preseason he’s scored four in four games for goal per game.
To hit 30 goals over a full season, Eberle has to average a goal every 0.36 games, just over every third game. Sure, I’m using a 23 game sample size to support this, but that’s what makes this bold.
And to be fair, a 33 game sample size is still close to half a season. So it’s not nothing. Jordan Eberle could absolutely pluck 30 goals this season. Not only because of the way he’s been playing but because of the way his linemate Mathew Barzal is playing.
It’s easy to think that Jordan Eberle won’t be the same player he was last season. He’ll be better. But to do something he’s only done once in his career. That’s bold.