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Analysis

New York Islanders: Evaluating Player Predictions For 2018-2019

DENVER, COLORADO - DECEMBER 17: Jordan Eberle #7 of the New York Islanders plays the Colorado Avalanche at the Pepsi Center on December 17, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
DENVER, COLORADO - DECEMBER 17: Jordan Eberle #7 of the New York Islanders plays the Colorado Avalanche at the Pepsi Center on December 17, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
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The New York Islanders season is over, so let’s take a look back at what our expectations were for individuals going into 2018-2019.

In 2017-2018, the New York Islanders had one of their better offensive season’s. They put up a ton of goals but let in even more. Going into this year it was assumed that the goals against would come down but the production would stay relatively close.

That wasn’t the case. The offensive numbers plummetted, which was fine because the Islanders were winning games. Looking back at my preseason predictions for certain players I don’t think I realized the Barry Trotz effect was going to make that much of a difference.

Here are the players that I predicted going into this season. In parenthesis is my point prediction while the number to the right is the number of points they went on to put up.

Jordan Eberle (65) – 37

Anthony Beauvillier (52) – 28

Andrew Ladd (36) – 11

Nick Leddy (44) – 26

Anders Lee (58) – 51

Devon Toews (14) – 18

Brock Nelson (42) – 53

Casey Cizikas (28) – 33

Ryan Pulock (47) – 37

Josh Ho-Sang (21) – 2

Val Filppula (34) – 31

Mathew Barzal (91) – 62

Josh Bailey (62) – 56

The people that impressed me were Brock Nelson and Casey Cizikas. They both had their numbers increase dramatically and were well above my guess for them on the regular season. Val Filppula and Josh Bailey were roughly around where I expected them to be as well.

I think I’m most disappointed in Anthony Beauvillier, Jordan Eberle, and Nick Leddy. At least for Eberle, he came on strong in the playoffs. The other two, Beau and Leddy, are now questionable for me if I want them to be a part of the Islanders long-term future.

Predictions are hard, but these were our expectations for production. I think Mathew Barzal gets an uptick in the offense next year and the scoring goes back up a little bit but we have to consider the defensive mindset for our 2019-2020 predictions.

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