Islanders 2019-2020 Point Paces At The All-Star Break

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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JANUARY 21: Anders Lee #27 of the New York Islanders celebrates his second period goal against the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden on January 21, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) /

At the All-Star break, the New York Islanders sit in third place in the division. Here’s how they are looking on-pace wise.

The New York Islanders currently sit at 29-15-5 through the first 49 games of the season. Yes, we’re a little bit past the halfway point, but at the end of the day here we just reached the All-Star break so it’s a good time to look at pace stats.

Now, pace doesn’t always mean that’s what a player is going to produce. As we know, looking at you Jordan Eberle and Anders Lee, NHL players tend to be extremely streaky.

So if I say that someone is on pace for 50 points that means using the number of games they’ve played so far this year based on their points per game rate this is what they are expected to put out the rest of the way.

There’s 13 forwards that I used while only six defenseman so we’ll take a look at those 19 players and what they’re on pace for. The goalies we don’t really need to do a pace for them but I’ll just mention what their save percentage and goals against average is.

Semyon Varlamov has a .915 save percentage and a 2,59 goals against average while Thomas Greiss is holding down a .925 save percentage and a 2.43 goals against average.

We’ll start by looking at the forward group:

NEWARK, NEW JERSEY – JANUARY 07: Anders Lee #27 of the New York Islanders and the rest of his teammates celebrate the overtime win over the New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center on January 07, 2020 in Newark, New Jersey.The New York Islanders defeated the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) /

Forwards

Mathew Barzal: 42 points (17 goals, 25 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 70 points (28 goals, 42 assists)

This would be a career-high in goals for Mat Barzal, previous high was 22, a step up from his 62 point season last year. While 70 points is a nice step, it feels like that isn’t his ceiling as a player.

Brock Nelson: 38 points (20 goals, 18 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 64 points (33 goals, 31 assists)

Brock Nelson would pick up a career-high in goals and points on this pace. In year one of a new deal we couldn’t have asked for a better Brock than what we are getting right now.

Josh Bailey: 30 points (11 goals, 19 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 50 points (18 goals, 32 assists)

Josh Bailey has taken a slight step back, and you’d ideally like that number in the higher 50’s but at a $5 million cap hit it’s hard to complain about that kind of production.

Anders Lee: 29 points (16 goals, 13 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 49 points (27 goals, 22 assists)

You’d like to see those goals and point total increase by year’s end. Ideally, you want the goals to be over 30 and the points to be over 50.

Anthony Beauvillier: 29 points (13 goals, 16 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 49 points (22 goals, 27 assists)

Beau’s been a little bit more consistent this year and if we can get 45-50 points from him I think you have to be happy if you’re the Islanders.

Derrick Brassard: 24 points (8 goals, 16 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 40 points (13 goals, 27 assists)

Derrick Brassard started off hot and then has been ice cold. If he can give you 40 points as the 3C you take it.

Jordan Eberle: 24 points (7 goals, 17 assists) – 39 games

Pace: 44 points (13 goals, 31 assists)

Eberle has to get that goal count up in the second half. 45-50 points should be the goal with at least 20 goals.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – NOVEMBER 07: Casey Cizikas #53 of the New York Islanders celebrates his goal at 19 seconds of the first period against the Pittsburgh Penguins at the Barclays Center on November 07, 2019 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) /

Forwards Continued

Casey Cizikas: 14 points (10 goals, 4 assists) – 42 games

Pace: 25 points (18 goals, 7 assists)

That 25-30 point range seems realistic. I think the goals and assist ratio becomes a bit tighter, maybe something like 15 and 10 by the time it’s all said and done.

Leo Komarov: 10 points (1 goal, 9 assists) – 30 games

Pace: 21 points (2 goals, 19 assists)

Uncle Leo just can’t score, unless a puck randomly bounces off the boards that is. He’s fine in a rotational role that hopefully is reduced when Cal Clutterbuck is healthy.

Michael Dal Colle: 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists) – 35 games

Pace: 13 points (4 goals, 9 assists)

Yikes.

Tom Kuhnhackl: 6 points (3 goals, 3 assists) – 23 games

Pace: 11 points (5 goals, 6 assists)

Kuhnhackl hasn’t been nearly as effective this year, as he was last year for the Islanders. He is an okay 13th forward, which the Isles have a million of.

Matt Martin: 6 points (3 goals, 3 assists) – 37 games

Pace: 11 points (5 goals, 6 assists)

Matt Martin is fine in his role. If and when Cal Clutterbuck returns that fourth line will become even more effective.

Ross Johnston: 4 points (3 goals, 1 assist) – 28 games

Pace: 7 points (5 goals, 2 assists)

He is a human battering ram on skates, what do you expect.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JANUARY 12: Ryan Pulock #6 of the New York Islanders reacts after the Islanders lose to the New York Rangers 2-1 at Barclays Center on January 12, 2019 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images) /

Defense

Ryan Pulock: 24 points (6 goals, 18 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 40 points (10 goals, 30 assists)

Pulock has 40 point defenseman written all over him. He’s been the Isles number one d-man for two years and it’s easy to see why.

Devon Toews: 18 points (4 goals, 14 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 30 points (7 goals, 23 assists)

It’s been a bit of a sophomore slump for Devon Toews but 30 points from a $700,000 defenseman is rather nice.

Nick Leddy: 18 points (3 goals, 15 assists) – 41 games

Pace: 32 points (5 goals, 27 assists)

Nick Leddy has been much better this year compared to the past two years. Since Adam Pelech has gone down, Leddy’s been solid with Ryan Pulock.

Scott Mayfield: 13 points (5 goals, 8 assists) – 48 games

Pace: 22 points (8 goals, 14 assists)

Scott Mayfield is a solid stay at home guy. If he’s giving you 20+ with a steady 20 minutes a night you sign up for that any day of the week.

Johnny Boychuk: 10 points (2 goals, 8 assists) – 48 games

Pace: 17 points (3 goals, 14 assists)

Boychuk is nowhere near the seam player he once was and that’s okay. Johnny is now a solid third pairing d-man who should get 15-17 minutes a night.

Noah Dobson: 5 points (1 goal, 4 assists) – 22 games

Pace: 15 points (3 goals, 12 assists)

Noah Dobson was thrust into a starting role and has been fairly good. I’d like to see him get more than 13 minutes a night but it’s been a solid effort from him so far.

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The Isles as a team has 63 points through 49 games, which is a pace of 105 points. Hopefully, this team doesn’t continue to slide in the second half of the year.

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