Islanders 2019-2020 Point Paces At The All-Star Break

At the All-Star break, the New York Islanders sit in third place in the division. Here’s how they are looking on-pace wise.

The New York Islanders currently sit at 29-15-5 through the first 49 games of the season. Yes, we’re a little bit past the halfway point, but at the end of the day here we just reached the All-Star break so it’s a good time to look at pace stats.

Now, pace doesn’t always mean that’s what a player is going to produce. As we know, looking at you Jordan Eberle and Anders Lee, NHL players tend to be extremely streaky.

So if I say that someone is on pace for 50 points that means using the number of games they’ve played so far this year based on their points per game rate this is what they are expected to put out the rest of the way.

There’s 13 forwards that I used while only six defenseman so we’ll take a look at those 19 players and what they’re on pace for. The goalies we don’t really need to do a pace for them but I’ll just mention what their save percentage and goals against average is.

Semyon Varlamov has a .915 save percentage and a 2,59 goals against average while Thomas Greiss is holding down a .925 save percentage and a 2.43 goals against average.

We’ll start by looking at the forward group:

Forwards

Mathew Barzal: 42 points (17 goals, 25 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 70 points (28 goals, 42 assists)

This would be a career-high in goals for Mat Barzal, previous high was 22, a step up from his 62 point season last year. While 70 points is a nice step, it feels like that isn’t his ceiling as a player.

Brock Nelson: 38 points (20 goals, 18 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 64 points (33 goals, 31 assists)

Brock Nelson would pick up a career-high in goals and points on this pace. In year one of a new deal we couldn’t have asked for a better Brock than what we are getting right now.

Josh Bailey: 30 points (11 goals, 19 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 50 points (18 goals, 32 assists)

Josh Bailey has taken a slight step back, and you’d ideally like that number in the higher 50’s but at a $5 million cap hit it’s hard to complain about that kind of production.

Anders Lee: 29 points (16 goals, 13 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 49 points (27 goals, 22 assists)

You’d like to see those goals and point total increase by year’s end. Ideally, you want the goals to be over 30 and the points to be over 50.

Anthony Beauvillier: 29 points (13 goals, 16 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 49 points (22 goals, 27 assists)

Beau’s been a little bit more consistent this year and if we can get 45-50 points from him I think you have to be happy if you’re the Islanders.

Derrick Brassard: 24 points (8 goals, 16 assists) – 49 games

Pace: 40 points (13 goals, 27 assists)

Derrick Brassard started off hot and then has been ice cold. If he can give you 40 points as the 3C you take it.

Jordan Eberle: 24 points (7 goals, 17 assists) – 39 games

Pace: 44 points (13 goals, 31 assists)

Eberle has to get that goal count up in the second half. 45-50 points should be the goal with at least 20 goals.

Forwards Continued

Casey Cizikas: 14 points (10 goals, 4 assists) – 42 games

Pace: 25 points (18 goals, 7 assists)

That 25-30 point range seems realistic. I think the goals and assist ratio becomes a bit tighter, maybe something like 15 and 10 by the time it’s all said and done.

Leo Komarov: 10 points (1 goal, 9 assists) – 30 games

Pace: 21 points (2 goals, 19 assists)

Uncle Leo just can’t score, unless a puck randomly bounces off the boards that is. He’s fine in a rotational role that hopefully is reduced when Cal Clutterbuck is healthy.

Michael Dal Colle: 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists) – 35 games

Pace: 13 points (4 goals, 9 assists)

Yikes.

Tom Kuhnhackl: 6 points (3 goals, 3 assists) – 23 games

Pace: 11 points (5 goals, 6 assists)

Kuhnhackl hasn’t been nearly as effective this year, as he was last year for the Islanders. He is an okay 13th forward, which the Isles have a million of.

Matt Martin: 6 points (3 goals, 3 assists) – 37 games

Pace: 11 points (5 goals, 6 assists)

Matt Martin is fine in his role. If and when Cal Clutterbuck returns that fourth line will become even more effective.

Ross Johnston: 4 points (3 goals, 1 assist) – 28 games

Pace: 7 points (5 goals, 2 assists)

He is a human battering ram on skates, what do you expect.