Regular Season Record
Now to look outwards. And the most glaring issue facing the Islanders in a best-of-seven series against the Penguins is the Isles record against them
Over eight games in the regular season, the Islanders hold a 2-4-2 record against the Penguins. Flip that record to look at it from a Penguins perspective and it’s 6-2-0.
Only one of the Islanders wins was “convincing”, which was a 2-0 victory on February 28th. Wahlstrom and Pageau scored power-play goals to secure the win while the Isles outshot the Pens 30-20, and held a 64.08 xGF% at 5on5.
It’s not as if the Islanders have played poorly against the Penguins this year. When it comes to the underlying numbers the Isles have done well against the Penguins this year.
*All data from NaturalStatTrick and at 5on5
Of course, winning the Corsi or xGF battle at 5on5 like the Islanders did – 50.07 CF% and 54.26 xGF% – doesn’t guarantee a win, but the Isles clearly played the game they wanted to play and still the Penguins bested them.
That’s a cause for concern. It seems that the Penguins just got the best of the Islanders this season for…reasons. But it really boils down to the next point: offense.