5 Bold Predictions for the NY Islanders’ 2025-26 Season

The puck drops on the 2025-26 New York Islanders season this week, and with Patrick Roy entering his second full season behind the bench and Mathieu Darche taking over as General Manager, a new era of accountability and purpose is taking shape on Long Island. The blend of Roy’s intensity and Darche’s modern, player-focused approach signals change — not a teardown, but a transformation of sorts.

Here are five bold predictions for a season that could redefine the Islanders’ direction.

1. Matthew Schaefer Wins the Calder Trophy

The Islanders haven’t had a Calder Trophy winner since Mathew Barzal in 2017-18, when his creativity and playmaking led to a breakout campaign. Only two defensemen in Islanders history — Denis Potvin (1973-74) and Bryan Berard (1996-97) — captured the award. My bold prediction: Matthew Schaefer becomes the third.

The 2025 first-overall pick brings elite skating, vision, and poise rarely found in rookies. With Noah Dobson traded this offseason, Schaefer will immediately step in as a regular defenseman and gain opportunities to quarterback the power play. Roy’s structure — discipline, quick transitions, and controlled aggression — perfectly complements Schaefer’s maturity and decision-making.

If he hits 40 points while logging heavy minutes against top competition, the Calder conversation will find him quickly. Schaefer isn’t just another young defenseman — he’s the foundation of the next era of Islanders hockey.

By April, he could join Potvin and Berard as the third defenseman in team history whose rookie season felt like the start of something lasting.