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The NY Islanders are projected to remain in the murky middle come 2030

Mar 28, 2026; Elmont, New York, USA; New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer (48) plays the puck against Florida Panthers left wing Tomas Nosek (92) during the third period at UBS Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
Mar 28, 2026; Elmont, New York, USA; New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer (48) plays the puck against Florida Panthers left wing Tomas Nosek (92) during the third period at UBS Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Finishing in the murky middle seems to be a trend for the NY Islanders over the past decade. Though Lady Luck was on their side when they won the Draft Lottery in 2025, giving them the right to draft Matthew Schaefer first overall, it was still a season the Isles finished in no man's land. Not good enough to make a serious run at the Stanley Cup, and not bad enough to guarantee a high first-round pick. 

2030 could be the same as 2025 for the Islanders

Daily Faceoff recently projected the 2030 standings from the Stanley Cup winner to who will finish with the fewest points, with the Islanders finishing 18th in the league - the last Eastern Conference team out of a playoff spot. 

What else is new.

Between the remnants of Lou Lamoriello’s long-term gambits and some dicey deals by GM Mathieu Darche, the Islanders are carrying a lot of dead weight for a team in limbo,” says Paul Pidutyi of Daily Faceoff. “In 2030, the age of their long-term signees reads: Scott Mayfield (37); Sorokin, Horvat, Ryan Pulock (35); Barzal (33); Alexander Romanov (30). But Schaefer’s stunning debut and a solid pipeline deliver some light at the end of the tunnel. While the current team was built for yesterday and there may be some mid seasons ahead, this will be an interesting team — their best is likely beyond 2030, however.”

While Schaefer and Sorokin are capable of keeping the Isles from the bottom of the standings as we saw last year, they’ll need additional help to take the next step. That help could come from current drafted prospects, or those taken in the next few years. Or players from outside the organization.

It’s hard enough to predict what will happen this season, let alone 2030, but it’s typical Islanders fashion to see them just missing out on the playoffs.

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